Predicting the 2014 Indie Spirit Nods

Rosario Dawson and Diego Luna announce this year’s Independent Spirit Award nominations tomorrow at 1 p.m. EST, so now is as good a time as any to post some predictions. I factored Oscar buzz into these predictions, of course, but I also tried to take into account how Film Independent can go off the beaten awards trail. For the record, I used Peter Knegt’s (Indiewire) predictions as a guide for these.

Check out my picks after the jump.

ellarcoltrane_boyhood

Best Feature

Nominees

  1. Boyhood
  2. Foxcatcher
  3. Birdman
  4. Whiplash
  5. A Most Violent Year

Next in Line?

  1. Love is Strange
  2. Wild
  3. Dear White People
  4. St. Vincent
  5. Top Five

bennettmiller_foxcatcher

Best Director

Nominees

  1. Richard Linklater for Boyhood
  2. Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher
  3. Alejandro González Iñárritu for Boyhood
  4. J.C. Chandor for A Most Violent Year
  5. Ira Sachs for Love is Strange

Next in Line?

  1. Jean-Marc Vallée for Wild
  2. Chris Rock for Top Five
  3. Tommy Lee Jones for The Homesman
  4. Craig Johnson for The Skeleton Twins
  5. Tim Burton for Big Eyes

naomiwatts_birdman

Best Screenplay

Nominees

  1. Richard Linklater for Boyhood
  2. E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman for Foxcatcher
  3. Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, and Armando Bo for Birdman
  4. J.C. Chandor for A Most Violent Year
  5. Chris Rock for Top Five

Next in Line?

  1. Nick Hornby for Wild
  2. Kieran Fitzgerald, Tommy Lee Jones, and Wesley Oliver for The Homesman
  3. Mark Heyman and Craig Johnson for The Skeleton Twins
  4. Scott Alexander and Larry Karaszewski for Big Eyes
  5. Richard Glatzer and Wash Westmoreland for Still Alice

dearwhitepeople_pic

Best First Feature

Nominees

  1. Justin Simien for Dear White People
  2. Gillian Robespierre for Obvious Child
  3. Dan Gilroy for Nightcrawler
  4. Theodore Melfi for St. Vincent
  5. Ana Lily Amirpour for A Girl Walks Home Alone At Night

Next in Line?

  1. Maya Forbes for Infinitely Polar Bear
  2. Jon Stewart for Rosewater
  3. Desiree Akhavan for Appropriate Behavior
  4. James Ward Byrkit for Coherence

billmurray_stvincent editedcollider

Best First Screenplay

Nominees

  1. Justin Simien for Dear White People
  2. Theodore Melfi for St. Vincent
  3. Gillian Robespierre for Obvious Child
  4. Ana Lily Amirpour for A Girl Walks Home Alone At Night
  5. Jon Stewart for Rosewater

Next in Line?

  1. Desiree Akhavan for Appropriate Behavior

kristenwiig_skeletontwins

Best Female Lead

Nominees

  1. Julianne Moore for Still Alice
  2. Reese Witherspoon for Wild
  3. Kristen Wiig for The Skeleton Twins
  4. Jenny Slate for Obvious Child
  5. Gugu Mbatha-Raw for Beyond the Lights

Next in Line?

  1. Hilary Swank for The Homesman
  2. Jessica Chastain for The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
  3. Amy Adams for Big Eyes
  4. Keira Knightley for Begin Again
  5. Desiree Akhavan for Appropriate Behavior

stevecarell_foxcatcher2

Best Male Lead

Nominees

  1. Michael Keaton for Birdman
  2. Steve Carell for Foxcatcher
  3. Jake Gyllenhaal for Nightcrawler
  4. Oscar Isaac for A Most Violent Year
  5. Bill Hader for The Skeleton Twins

Next in Line?

  1. Miles Teller for Whiplash
  2. Bill Murray for St. Vincent
  3. Alfred Molina for Love is Strange
  4. John Lithgow for Love is Strange
  5. Ellar Coltrane for Boyhood

jessicachastain_violent

Best Supporting Female

Nominees

  1. Patricia Arquette for Boyhood
  2. Emma Stone for Birdman
  3. Jessica Chastain for A Most Violent Year
  4. Melissa McCarthy for St. Vincent
  5. Tessa Thompson for Dear White People

Next in Line?

  1. Laura Dern for Wild
  2. Kristen Stewart for Still Alice
  3. Rene Russo for Nightcrawler
  4. Marisa Tomei for Love is Strange
  5. Vanessa Redgrave for Foxcatcher

FOXCATCHER

Best Supporting Male

Nominees

  1. J.K. Simmons for Whiplash
  2. Ethan Hawke for Boyhood
  3. Edward Norton for Birdman
  4. Mark Ruffalo for Foxcatcher
  5. Riz Ahmed for Nightcrawler

Next in Line?

  1. Jake Lacy for Obvious Child
  2. Luke Wilson for The Skeleton Twins
  3. Alec Baldwin for Still Alice
  4. Albert Brooks for A Most Violent Year
  5. Jaeden Lieberher for St. Vincent

citizenfour_pic

Best Documentary

Nominees

  1. CITIZENFOUR
  2. The Case Against 8
  3. The Overnighters
  4. Life Itself
  5. Keep on Keepin’ On

Next in Line?

  1. Last Days in Vietnam
  2. Finding Vivian Maier
  3. Rich Hill
  4. The Salt of the Earth
  5. Tales of the Grim Sleeper
  6. Point and Shoot

benedictcumberbatch_imitationgame-playlist

Best International Film

Nominees

  1. The Imitation Game
  2. Mr. Turner
  3. Mommy
  4. Ida
  5. The Theory of Everything

Next in Line?

  1. Force Majeure
  2. Two Days, One Night
  3. Under the Skin
  4. Leviathan
  5. Winter’s Sleep
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