Oscar Predictions 2015: Oscar Rules and Invitees

ted2_pic“But those dinosaurs don’t even talk!”

Hey all! Back for another predictions update!

In case you missed them, here are some news bits that may prove relevant during the awards season:

Sony Pictures Classics dates I Saw the Light for Nov. 27, 2015. This late-November slot for the Hank Williams biopic pits it against Tom Hooper’s The Danish Girl, arguably one of the biggest sight-unseen contenders of the year. At this point, Tom Hiddleston’s leading turn as the legendary country singer seems to be its best bet at awards attention.

Robert Zemeckis’ The Walk opens early on IMAX screens. The drama, which kicks off the New York Film Festival on Sept. 25, opens on IMAX screens on Sept. 30, nine days before its nationwide release on Oct. 9.

Seth MacFarlane’s Ted 2 disappoints at the box office. The sequel to surprise hit Ted (2012) pulled in an estimated $33 million this weekend – far less than the expected $45 million and roughly $20 million less than the original film’s debut. I can’t imagine the lackluster reviews helped. We weren’t chalking this up for a best picture nod, but how much will this hurt the chances of original tune “Mean Ol’ Moon” making the Oscar cut?

Oscar rule changes are… small, really. The system for best picture nominating remains the same, and little has changed. The minute changes are described here.

The motion-picture academy invites 322 people to join its ranks. Emma Stone, Gugu Mbatha-Raw, Elizabeth Banks, David Oyelowo, and J.K. Simmons are among the invitees. Check out the rest over at The Film Experience.

“See You Again” from Furious 7 tops the Billboard Hot 100 for a 10th week. A smaller news item, of course, since its chart dominance has been documented here and elsewhere. But this can only help Wiz Khalifa and Charlie Puth’s rap ballad stand out among the power players (Brian Wilson and Diane Warren, to name a couple) in the mix.

Now, this week’s predictions:

 

Main Categories

Best Picture

  1. Carol
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Danish Girl
  4. The Revenant
  5. Demolition

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. Youth
  2. Steve Jobs
  3. Inside Out
  4. Bridge of Spies
  5. Freeheld

Best Director

  1. Todd Haynes for Carol
  2. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  3. Tom Hooper for The Danish Girl
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  5. Jean-Marc Vallée for Demolition

Best Actress in a Leading Role

  1. Rooney Mara for Carol
  2. Cate Blanchett for Carol
  3. Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
  4. Ellen Page for Freeheld
  5. Elle Fanning for Three Generations

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  2. Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl
  3. Jake Gyllenhaal for Demolition
  4. Michael Caine for Youth
  5. Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  2. Naomi Watts for Demolition
  3. Diane Ladd for Joy
  4. Vanessa Redgrave for The Secret Scripture
  5. Gugu Mbatha-Raw for Concussion

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  1. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight
  2. Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  3. Ezra Miller for The Stanford Prison Experiment
  4. Chris Cooper for Demolition
  5. Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  2. Bryan Sipe for Demolition
  3. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, and Josh Cooley for Inside Out
  4. Paolo Sorrentino for Youth
  5. Amy Schumer for Trainwreck

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  2. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl
  3. Alejandro González Iñárritu and Mark L. Smith for The Revenant
  4. Jesse Andrews for Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
  5. Aaron Sorkin for Steve Jobs

They Deserve Better

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Inside Out
  2. The Good Dinosaur
  3. When Marnie Was There
  4. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet
  5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Hunting Ground
  2. Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine
  3. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
  4. The Wrecking Crew
  5. Seymour: An Introduction

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Son of Saul, or Saul fia – Hungary
  2. ???
  3. ???
  4. ???
  5. ???

Music

Best Original Score

  1. Carter Burwell for Carol
  2. Alexandre Desplat for The Danish Girl
  3. Fernando Velázquez for Crimson Peak
  4. John Williams for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  5. Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song

  1. “Till It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  2. “One Kind of Love” from Love and Mercy
  3. Song from Spectre
  4. “See You Again” from Furious 7 (more)
  5. Cold One” from Ricki and the Flash (more; trailer with song snippet)

Crafts

Best Cinematography

  1. Edward Lachman for Carol
  2. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  3. Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  4. Roger Deakins for Sicario
  5. Janusz Kaminski for Bridge of Spies

Best Costume Design

  1. Sandy Powell for Carol
  2. Sandy Powell for Cinderella
  3. Courtney Hoffman for The Hateful Eight
  4. Paco Delgado for The Danish Girl
  5. Odile Dicks-Mireau for Brooklyn

Best Film Editing

  1. Fred Raskin for The Hateful Eight
  2. Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  3. Daniel P. Hanley and Mark Hill for In the Heart of the Sea
  4. Elliott Graham for Steve Jobs
  5. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Cinderella
  2. The Danish Girl
  3. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Production Design

  1. Dante Ferretti for Cinderella
  2. Judy Becker for Carol
  3. Eve Stewart for The Danish Girl
  4. Thomas E. Sanders for Crimson Peak
  5. Rick Carter and Darren Gilford for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Revenant
  4. Spectre
  5. Jurassic World

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. Mad Max: Fury Road
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
  5. The Martian
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