Oscar Predictions 2015: Minions Wreak Box-Office Havoc

minions_pic“Well, I’ve already won an Oscar, but I suppose you three might get a nomination.”

Hey all! Back for another predictions update!

In case you missed them, here are some news bits that may prove relevant during the awards season:

Minions marks the second-biggest opening of an animated feature. The Despicable Me spinoff raked in an estimated $115.2 million over the weekend, easily trumping fellow openers The Gallows and Self/Less. Critics found less to enjoy in Minions than audiences, but it’s foolish to write it off as an animated feature contender, as Despicable Me 2 (2013) sneaked in due to its commercial success.

Baltasar Kormákur’s Everest will kick off the Venice Film Festival. This gig puts Everest in the company of fellow Venice openers Birdman (last year’s best picture winner), Gravity (2013 picture nominee), and The Ides of March (2011 adapted screenplay nominee). Universal Pictures will release the film in IMAX and premium-large format 3D theaters on September 18, 2015, and in theaters across the United States on September 25, 2015.

Netflix dates Cary Fukunaga’s Beasts of No Nation. The child-soldier drama gets a day-and-date release on October 16, 2015 – the same day Bridge of Spies, Crimson Peak, and Goosebumps hit theaters nationwide. Netflix will team up with distributor Bleecker Street for theatrical distribution, though major exhibitors are reluctant to carry the film due to the day-and-date release.

Ennio Morricone will score Quentin Tarantino’s The Hateful Eight. The auteur dropped this news at Sand Diego Comic Con last week; it will be Morricone’s first score for a Western in 40 years. Update your original score predictions accordingly.

Dr. Dre commissioned new music for Straight Outta Compton. The soundtrack for the N.W.A. biopic will feature original music from Dr. Dre as well as Eminem (who also exec produced the soundtrack for this year’s Southpaw) and Kendrick Lamar; no clue on whether they feature on or get their own tracks. Regardless, expect one or two tracks to gain original song buzz if eligible.

“See You Again” from Furious 7 tops the Billboard Hot 100 for a 12th week. It now ties the Black Eyed Peas’ “Boom Boom Pow” (2009) and Eminem’s Oscar-winning “Lose Yourself” (2002) as the longest-leading rap No. 1 in the history of the Billboard Hot 100. This can only help Wiz Khalifa and Charlie Puth’s rap ballad stand out among the power players (Diane Warren, for instance) in the mix.

Now, this week’s predictions:

 

Main Categories

Best Picture

  1. Carol
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Danish Girl
  4. The Revenant
  5. Demolition

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. Youth
  2. Steve Jobs
  3. Inside Out
  4. Bridge of Spies
  5. Suffragette

Best Director

  1. Todd Haynes for Carol
  2. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  3. Tom Hooper for The Danish Girl
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  5. Jean-Marc Vallée for Demolition

Best Actress in a Leading Role

  1. Rooney Mara for Carol
  2. Cate Blanchett for Carol
  3. Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
  4. Ellen Page for Freeheld
  5. Elle Fanning for Three Generations

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  2. Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl
  3. Jake Gyllenhaal for Demolition
  4. Michael Caine for Youth
  5. Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  2. Naomi Watts for Demolition
  3. Diane Ladd for Joy
  4. Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs
  5. Vanessa Redgrave for The Secret Scripture

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  1. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight
  2. Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  3. Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs
  4. Chris Cooper for Demolition
  5. Ezra Miller for The Stanford Prison Experiment

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  2. Bryan Sipe for Demolition
  3. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, and Josh Cooley for Inside Out
  4. Paolo Sorrentino for Youth
  5. Amy Schumer for Trainwreck

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  2. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl
  3. Aaron Sorkin for Steve Jobs
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu and Mark L. Smith for The Revenant
  5. Ron Nyswaner for Freeheld

They Deserve Better

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Inside Out
  2. The Good Dinosaur
  3. When Marnie Was There
  4. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet
  5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Hunting Ground
  2. Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine
  3. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
  4. What Happened, Miss Simone?
  5. Seymour: An Introduction

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Son of Saul, or Saul fia – Hungary
  2. ???
  3. ???
  4. ???
  5. ???

Music

Best Original Score

  1. Carter Burwell for Carol
  2. Alexandre Desplat for The Danish Girl
  3. Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight
  4. John Williams for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  5. Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song

  1. “Till It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  2. Song from Spectre
  3. “See You Again” from Furious 7 (more)
  4. Song from Straight Outta Compton
  5. Cold One” from Ricki and the Flash (more; trailer with song snippet)

Crafts

Best Cinematography

  1. Edward Lachman for Carol
  2. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  3. Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  4. Roger Deakins for Sicario
  5. Janusz Kaminski for Bridge of Spies

Best Costume Design

  1. Sandy Powell for Carol
  2. Sandy Powell for Cinderella
  3. Courtney Hoffman for The Hateful Eight
  4. Paco Delgado for The Danish Girl
  5. Odile Dicks-Mireau for Brooklyn

Best Film Editing

  1. Fred Raskin for The Hateful Eight
  2. Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  3. Elliott Graham for Steve Jobs
  4. Affona Gonçalves for Carol
  5. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Cinderella
  2. The Danish Girl
  3. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Production Design

  1. Dante Ferretti for Cinderella
  2. Judy Becker for Carol
  3. Eve Stewart for The Danish Girl
  4. Thomas E. Sanders for Crimson Peak
  5. Rick Carter and Darren Gilford for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Revenant
  4. Spectre
  5. Jurassic World

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. Mad Max: Fury Road
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
  5. The Martian
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