Oscar Predictions 2015: Crisis Strikes

Sandra Bullock on the set of David Gordon Green's OUR BRAND IS CRISIS
Hey all! Back for another predictions update!

In case you missed them, here are some news bits that may prove relevant during the awards season:

Mr. Holmes scores strong box office, best-actor chatter? Bill Condon’s aging Sherlock Holmes drama now sits at $6.4 million after just two weekends in not-quite-wide release. Ian McKellen scored raves out of the Berlin International Film Festival; will distributor Roadside Attractions plan a campaign?

Black Mass and Spotlight will premiere at the Venice Film Festival. Warner Bros. will debut the former – Scott Cooper’s Johnny Depp-led Whitey Bulger biopic – nationwide on Sept. 10. Spotlight, Tom McCarthy’s Catholic Church abuse scandal film, stars Brian d’Arcy James, Maureen Keiller, Michael Keaton, Rachel McAdams, Mark Ruffalo, Liev Schreiber, and John Slattery. Open Road Films has slated it for a limited bow on Nov. 6.

Don Cheadle’s Miles Ahead will close the New York Film Festival on Oct. 10. Cheadle leads as jazz icon Miles Davis; he also makes his directorial debut with this project, which he also co-wrote and co-produces. The film explores Davis’ launching of a career revival with a Rolling Stone reporter in 1979 and his time with life love Frances Taylor. Recent NYFF closers have scored major Oscar bids, but Miles still needs a distributor.

Roadside Attractions gives Roland Emmerich’s Stonewall limited Sept. 25 bow. The film uses the fictional Danny Winters (played by Jeremy Irvine), who runs away to New York’s Stonewall Inn in 1969 after being kicked out of his home, to address the Stonewall Riots of 1969. The queer-rights drama may be Roadside’s big Oscar push, unless Mr. Holmes continues to soar or A Hologram for the King or Miss You Already surprises.

Warner Bros. sets David Gordon Green’s Our Brand is Crisis for Oct. 30. This Oscar-friendly date pits the political drama against Relativity’s Autobahn and Paramount’s Scouts vs. Zombies. Sandra Bullock leads as a retired political consultant hired by an unpopular Bolivian president to help him win. Crisis looks like WB’s best (only?) shot a best-actress bid, maybe their primary play in general?

Paramount schedules That’s What I’m Talking About for Apr. 15, 2016. I guess Richard Linklater won’t return to the Oscar race this year.

Now, this week’s predictions:

Main Categories

Best Picture

  1. Carol
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Danish Girl
  4. The Revenant
  5. Youth

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. Steve Jobs
  2. Inside Out
  3. Suffragette
  4. Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Bridge of Spies

Best Director

  1. Todd Haynes for Carol
  2. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  3. Tom Hooper for The Danish Girl
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  5. Danny Boyle for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Leading Role

  1. Rooney Mara for Carol
  2. Cate Blanchett for Carol
  3. Julianne Moore for Freeheld
  4. Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
  5. Sandra Bullock for Our Brand is Crisis

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  2. Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl
  3. Michael Caine for Youth
  4. Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs
  5. Tom Hiddleston for I Saw the Light

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  2. Diane Ladd for Joy
  3. Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs
  4. Vanessa Redgrave for The Secret Scripture
  5. Jane Fonda for Youth

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  1. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight
  2. Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  3. Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs
  4. Joaquim de Almeida for Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Jason Segel for The End of the Tour

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  2. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, and Josh Cooley for Inside Out
  3. Paolo Sorrentino for Youth
  4. Abi Morgan for Suffragette
  5. Amy Schumer for Trainwreck

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  2. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl
  3. Aaron Sorkin for Steve Jobs
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu and Mark L. Smith for The Revenant
  5. Peter Straughan for Our Brand is Crisis

They Deserve Better

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Inside Out
  2. The Good Dinosaur
  3. When Marnie Was There
  4. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet
  5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Hunting Ground
  2. Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine
  3. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
  4. What Happened, Miss Simone?
  5. Seymour: An Introduction

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Son of Saul, or Saul fia – Hungary
  2. ???
  3. ???
  4. ???
  5. ???

Music

Best Original Score

  1. Carter Burwell for Carol
  2. Alexandre Desplat for The Danish Girl
  3. Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight
  4. John Williams for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  5. Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song

  1. “Till It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  2. Song from Spectre
  3. “See You Again” from Furious 7 (more)
  4. Song from Straight Outta Compton
  5. “Cold One” from Ricki and the Flash (snippet)

Crafts

Best Cinematography

  1. Edward Lachman for Carol
  2. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  3. Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  4. Roger Deakins for Sicario
  5. Janusz Kaminski for Bridge of Spies

Best Costume Design

  1. Sandy Powell for Carol
  2. Sandy Powell for Cinderella
  3. Courtney Hoffman for The Hateful Eight
  4. Paco Delgado for The Danish Girl
  5. Odile Dicks-Mireau for Brooklyn

Best Film Editing

  1. Fred Raskin for The Hateful Eight
  2. Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  3. Elliott Graham for Steve Jobs
  4. Affona Gonçalves for Carol
  5. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Cinderella
  2. The Danish Girl
  3. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Production Design

  1. Dante Ferretti for Cinderella
  2. Judy Becker for Carol
  3. Eve Stewart for The Danish Girl
  4. Thomas E. Sanders for Crimson Peak
  5. Rick Carter and Darren Gilford for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Revenant
  4. Spectre
  5. Jurassic World

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. Mad Max: Fury Road
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
  5. The Martian
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