Oscar Picks: Room for Truth?

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Hey all! Back for another predictions update!

In case you missed them, here are some news bits that may prove relevant during the awards season:

Beasts of No Nation, Black Mass, The Danish Girl, and Spotlight are all slated for the Venice Film Festival; Everest will open the fest. Meanwhile, the Toronto lineup includes the world premieres of Freeheld, The Martian, and Stonewall, the North American premieres of Danish and Youth, and the Canadian premieres of Mass, Brooklyn, Sicario, Son of Saul, and Spotlight.

The New York Film Festival selects Steve Jobs as its centerpiece gala; The Walk and Miles Ahead will open and close the fest, respectively.

A24 schedules Toronto (and possibly Telluride) player Room for a limited bow on Oct. 16. Sony Pictures Classics dates Truth for a select release the same day. The Weinstein Co. shifts the dates for both Burnt (formerly Adam Jones, formerly Chef) – from Oct. 2 to Oct. 23 – and Carol – from Dec. 18 to Nov. 20. Expect the former to be a commercial play, while the latter looks like Harvey’s Oscar priority.

At the box office, the A24-distributed End of the Tour claims an estimated $126,459 from just four locations, Mr. Holmes drops out of the top 10 but crosses the $10 million mark, and Minions hits No. 11 for all-time animated films at the U.S. box office – not adjusted for inflation, of course – in its fourth weekend.

Lastly, Relativity hopes to fight bankruptcy by selling some of its properties. This includes feminist Western pic Jane Got a Gun, which looked like a potential best-actress play for Natalie Portman; no idea if/when we’ll ever see it. Earlier this year, Relativity relegated mental hospital pic The Secret Scripture to specialty division Relativity Squared; I can’t imagine we’ll see this one anytime soon, either.

Now, this week’s predictions:

Main Categories

Best Picture

  1. Carol
  2. The Danish Girl
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Youth

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. Inside Out
  2. Steve Jobs
  3. Suffragette
  4. Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Bridge of Spies

Best Director

  1. Todd Haynes for Carol
  2. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  3. Tom Hooper for The Danish Girl
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  5. Danny Boyle for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Leading Role

  1. Rooney Mara for Carol
  2. Cate Blanchett for Carol
  3. Julianne Moore for Freeheld
  4. Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
  5. Sandra Bullock for Our Brand is Crisis

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  2. Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl
  3. Michael Caine for Youth
  4. Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs
  5. Tom Hiddleston for I Saw the Light

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  2. Diane Ladd for Joy
  3. Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs
  4. Helena Bonham Carter for Suffragette
  5. Jane Fonda for Youth

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  1. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight
  2. Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  3. Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs
  4. Joaquim de Almeida for Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Jason Segel for The End of the Tour

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  2. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, and Josh Cooley for Inside Out
  3. Paolo Sorrentino for Youth
  4. Abi Morgan for Suffragette
  5. David O. Russell and Annie Mumolo (story) for Joy

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  2. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl
  3. Aaron Sorkin for Steve Jobs
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu and Mark L. Smith for The Revenant
  5. Peter Straughan for Our Brand is Crisis

They Deserve Better

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Inside Out
  2. The Good Dinosaur
  3. When Marnie Was There
  4. Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet
  5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Hunting Ground
  2. Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine
  3. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
  4. What Happened, Miss Simone?
  5. Seymour: An Introduction

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Son of Saul, or Saul fia – Hungary
  2. ???
  3. ???
  4. ???
  5. ???

Music

Best Original Score

  1. Carter Burwell for Carol
  2. Alexandre Desplat for The Danish Girl
  3. Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight
  4. John Williams for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  5. Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song

  1. “Till It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  2. Song from Spectre
  3. “See You Again” from Furious 7 (more)
  4. “Talking to My Diary” from Straight Outta Compton
  5. “Cold One” from Ricki and the Flash (snippet)

Crafts

Best Cinematography

  1. Edward Lachman for Carol
  2. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  3. Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  4. Roger Deakins for Sicario
  5. Anthony Dod Mantle for In the Heart of the Sea

Best Costume Design

  1. Kate Hawley for Crimson Peak
  2. Sandy Powell for Carol
  3. Sandy Powell for Cinderella
  4. Courtney Hoffman for The Hateful Eight
  5. Paco Delgado for The Danish Girl

Best Film Editing

  1. Fred Raskin for The Hateful Eight
  2. Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  3. Elliott Graham for Steve Jobs
  4. Affona Gonçalves for Carol
  5. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Crimson Peak
  2. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  3. Cinderella

Best Production Design

  1. Dante Ferretti for Cinderella
  2. Judy Becker for Carol
  3. Eve Stewart for The Danish Girl
  4. Thomas E. Sanders for Crimson Peak
  5. Rick Carter and Darren Gilford for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Revenant
  4. Spectre
  5. Jurassic World

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Martian
  3. Jurassic World
  4. Mad Max: Fury Road
  5. Avengers: Age of Ultron
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