Oscar Picks: Compton Dominates

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Hey all! Back for my first predictions update in about two weeks!

In case you missed them, here are some news bits that may prove relevant during the awards season:

Straight Outta Compton topped the U.S. box office this past weekend. With a massive opening of $60.2 million and rave reviews, F. Gary Gray’s N.W.A. biopic looks to get the campaign treatment from Universal Pictures. At this point, Jason Mitchell’s turn as Eazy-E looks like Compton’s safest bet for a nomination.

Joel Edgerton’s The Gift surprised the prior weekend. The film opened to about $11.85 million from a production budget of $5 million. The psychological thriller scored some strong critical reception, too. Maybe writer-director Edgerton’s supporting performance gains some traction?

Jane Fonda set for Santa Barbara International Film Festival honor. The two-time Oscar winner will pick up the Kirk Douglas Award for Excellence in Film at a gala dinner on Oct. 3. Fonda features in Paolo Sorrentino’s Youth; her cameo therein sparked a lot of talk at Cannes earlier this year.

The Toronto International Film Festival will include… the world premieres of About Ray, I Saw the Light, Miss You Already, Our Brand is Crisis, and Truth, and the Canadian premieres of 45 Years and The Witch, in addition to the films previously announced. TIFF runs from Sept. 10 to Sept. 20.

The New York Film Festival will include… the world premiere of Bridge of Spies. The fest runs from Sept. 25 to Oct. 11, and includes other Oscar potentials like Brooklyn, Carol, The Lobster, Maggie’s Plan, and Where to Invade Next. The Walk and Miles Ahead open and close NYFF, respectively; Steve Jobs will serve as the centerpiece gala.

Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions will release Miss You Already on Nov. 6. Catherine Hardwicke’s dramedy stars Drew Barrymore and Toni Collette as lifelong besties; the former longs to conceive a child, while the latter battles breast cancer. The film may be seen as too light for a general Oscar play, but Barrymore and Collette may hit the circuit.

Now, this week’s predictions:

Main Categories

Best Picture

  1. Carol
  2. The Danish Girl
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Youth

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. Inside Out
  2. Steve Jobs
  3. Suffragette
  4. Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Bridge of Spies

Best Director

  1. Todd Haynes for Carol
  2. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  3. Tom Hooper for The Danish Girl
  4. Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  5. Danny Boyle for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Leading Role

  1. Rooney Mara for Carol
  2. Cate Blanchett for Carol
  3. Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
  4. Sandra Bullock for Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Carey Mulligan for Suffragette

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  2. Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl
  3. Don Cheadle for Miles Ahead
  4. Michael Caine for Youth
  5. Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  2. Diane Ladd for Joy
  3. Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs
  4. Helena Bonham Carter for Suffragette
  5. Jane Fonda for Youth

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  1. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight
  2. Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  3. Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs
  4. Joaquim de Almeida for Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Jason Mitchell for Straight Outta Compton

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight
  2. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, and Josh Cooley for Inside Out
  3. Paolo Sorrentino for Youth
  4. Abi Morgan for Suffragette
  5. David O. Russell and Annie Mumolo (story) for Joy

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  2. Lucinda Coxon for The Danish Girl
  3. Aaron Sorkin for Steve Jobs
  4. Peter Straughan for Our Brand is Crisis
  5. Alejandro González Iñárritu and Mark L. Smith for The Revenant

They Deserve Better

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Inside Out
  2. The Good Dinosaur
  3. When Marnie Was There
  4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
  5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Hunting Ground
  2. Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine
  3. Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
  4. What Happened, Miss Simone?
  5. Seymour: An Introduction

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Son of Saul, or Saul fia – Hungary
  2. Aferim! – Romania
  3. ???
  4. ???
  5. ???

Music

Best Original Score

  1. Carter Burwell for Carol
  2. Alexandre Desplat for The Danish Girl
  3. Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight
  4. John Williams for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  5. Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies

Best Original Song

  1. “Till It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  2. Song from Spectre
  3. “See You Again” from Furious 7 (more)
  4. “Cold One” from Ricki and the Flash (snippet)
  5. “As Real as You and Me” from Home

Crafts

Best Cinematography

  1. Edward Lachman for Carol
  2. Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  3. Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  4. Roger Deakins for Sicario
  5. Anthony Dod Mantle for In the Heart of the Sea

Best Costume Design

  1. Kate Hawley for Crimson Peak
  2. Sandy Powell for Carol
  3. Sandy Powell for Cinderella
  4. Courtney Hoffman for The Hateful Eight
  5. Paco Delgado for The Danish Girl

Best Film Editing

  1. Fred Raskin for The Hateful Eight
  2. Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  3. Elliott Graham for Steve Jobs
  4. Affona Gonçalves for Carol
  5. Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Crimson Peak
  2. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  3. Cinderella

Best Production Design

  1. Dante Ferretti for Cinderella
  2. Judy Becker for Carol
  3. Eve Stewart for The Danish Girl
  4. Thomas E. Sanders for Crimson Peak
  5. Rick Carter and Darren Gilford for Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. Jurassic World
  3. The Hateful Eight
  4. The Revenant
  5. Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Hateful Eight
  3. The Revenant
  4. Spectre
  5. Jurassic World

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens
  2. The Martian
  3. Jurassic World
  4. Mad Max: Fury Road
  5. Avengers: Age of Ultron
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