Best Actor in a Leading Role 2017

Most recent update: Mar. 6, 2017

Just for fun, of course. Passion may propel Donald Sutherland here, but similar sentiments may help Gary Oldman, too. Why not Harrison Ford at this point?


My official predictions include only performances in films set for U.S. distribution in 2016. The process of guessing who will and will not make the cut always seems to be collaborative, so feel free to leave a comment – here or on Twitter – that addresses any relevant information or contenders you feel should be included.


  1. Donald Sutherland for The Leisure Seeker (more)

  2. Harrison Ford for Blade Runner 2049 (more)

  3. Jason Mitchell for Mudbound (more)

  4. Timothée Chalamet for Call Me By Your Name (more)

  5. Javier Bardem for Mother (more)

Next in Line?

  1. Casey Affleck for A Ghost Story (more)
  2. Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour (more)
  3. Daniel Kaluuya for Get Out (more)
  4. Ryan Gosling for Blade Runner 2049 (more)
  5. James McAvoy for Split (more)

Other Possibilities

  1. Miles Teller for Thank You for Your Service (more)
  2. Matt Damon for Downsizing (more)
  3. Garett Hedlund for Mudbound (more)
  4. Ali Fazal for Victoria and Abdul (more)
  5. John Boyega for The Circle (more)
  6. Kenneth Branagh for Murder on the Orient Express (more)
  7. Joaquin Phoenix for You Were Never Really Here (more)
  8. David Oyelowo for God Particle (more)
  9. Joel Edgerton for It Comes at Night (more)
  10. Jeremy Renner for Wind River (more)
  11. Dev Patel for Hotel Mumbai (more)
  12. Tracy Letts for The Lovers (more)
  13. Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger (more)
  14. Robert Redford for Our Souls at Night (more)
  15. Joaquin Phoenix for Mary Magdalene (more)

Long Shots

  1. David Oyelowo for A United Kingdom (more)
  2. Dane DeHaan for Tulip Fever (more)
  3. Forest Whitaker for The Forgiven (more)
  4. Jaeden Lieberher for The Book of Henry (more)
  5. Brad Pitt for War Machine (more)
  6. Chris Evans for Gifted (more)
  7. Jim Broadbent for The Sense of an Ending (more)
  8. Arnold Schwarzenegger for 478 (more)


In Limbo

The following films fall into one or more of the following categories: They might not hit theaters this year due to distributors’ schedules, they might not be complete in time, or the films might lack stateside distribution altogether.Of course, as anyone who follows this mess knows, things can change at a moment’s notice.

Of course, as anyone who follows this mess knows, things can change at a moment’s notice.

  • Woody Harrelson for LBJ (more)
  • Bryan Cranston for Wakefield (more)

A photo of Patricia Arquette in Boyhood (via Collider).


Box Office


Dates and Distribution