Most recent update: In flux as of Dec. 1, 2014
A photo Keira Knightley in The Imitation Game (via Collider.)
This year’s New York Film Critics Circle voting suggests that Patricia Arquette might be the critics’ darling. Voters might have overdue love for an acting veteran, and an Arquette win would be an easy to way to honor one of the year’s most acclaimed awards contenders. However, it’s a low-key performance in a film that might miss widespread support throughout the motion-picture academy. Meanwhile, Keira Knightley features in a World War II drama that, at the end of the day, could take it all. Emma Stone supports in an acclaimed satire of the entertainment industry. Meryl Streep gets to belt showy, emotional Stephen Sondheim numbers in the year’s big musical spectacle. That “fifth spot” seems to be up for grabs, but it could be between Indie Spirit nominees Jessica Chastain (who’s everywhere, as per usual) and Carmen Ejogo (who’s in one of this year’s front-runners) – or maybe a wildcard like Carrie Coon, Rene Russo, or Kristen Stewart surprises.
PREDICTIONS (in flux as of Dec. 1)
My “official” top five includes only films/performances that already have distributors for release in the United States. I also hope to write/post pages for each contender – and update the news relevant to this race – in the near future. The process of guessing who’ll get in and who won’t always seems to be collaborative, so feel free to leave a comment – here or on Twitter – that addresses any relevant information you don’t see on the page and/or any corrections I need to make.
Patricia Arquette for Boyhood (more)
Keira Knightley for The Imitation Game (more)
Emma Stone for Birdman (more)
Meryl Streep for Into the Woods (more)
Laura Dern for Wild
Next in Line?
- Carmen Ejogo for Selma (more)
- Jessica Chastain for A Most Violent Year (more)
- Kristen Stewart for Still Alice (more)
- Carrie Coon for Gone Girl (more)
- Rene Russo for Nightcrawler (more)
- Mackenzie Foy for Interstellar (more)
- Jessica Chastain for Interstellar (more)
- Jessica Lange for The Gambler (more)
- Anna Kendrick for Into the Woods (more)
- Vanessa Redgrave for Foxcatcher (more)
- Sienna Miller for American Sniper (more)
- Gabrielle Union for Top Five (more)
- Julianne Moore for Maps to the Stars (more)
- Oprah Winfrey for Selma (more)
- Naomi Watts for St. Vincent (more)
- Imelda Staunton for Pride (more)
- Katherine Waterston for Inherent Vice (more)
- Viola Davis for Get on Up (more)
- Tilda Swinton for Snowpiercer (more)
- Dorothy Atkinson for Mr. Turner (more)
Ellen Burstyn for Interstellar (more) Niecy Nash for Selma (more)
Other Potential Contenders
- Krysten Ritter for Big Eyes (more)
- Marisa Tomei for Love is Strange (more)
- Shohreh Aghdashloo for Rosewater (more)
- Suzanne Clément for Mommy (more)
- Octavia Spencer for Black or White (more)
- Scarlett Johansson for Chef (more)
- Lorraine Toussaint for Selma (more)
- Octavia Spencer for Get on Up (more)
- Octavia Spencer for Snowpiercer (more)
- Kim Dickens for Gone Girl (more)
- Cameron Diaz for Annie (more)
- Robin Wright for A Most Wanted Man (more)
- Kelly Reilly for Calvary (more)
- Viola Davis for The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them (more)
- Sigourney Weaver for Exodus: Gods and Kings (more)
- Jane Fonda for This is Where I Leave You (more)
A photo of Patricia Arquette in Boyhood (via Collider).
RELEVANT NEWS (July 30 – needs an update, I know)
Boyhood pulled in more than $1.7 million from 107 locations this weekend, according to Box Office Mojo, bringing the film’s stateside cume to about $4.1 million. Critics are big on Patricia Arquette‘s performance in the film, so it’s easy to imagine that she can get into the lineup – and possibly even win when all is said and done.
Dates and Distribution
The Weinstein Company pushed Suite française back to 2015 – so Kristin Scott Thomas‘ only shot, it seems, will be with My Old Lady.
The Santa Barbara International Film Festival just announced that Jessica Lange – who might be an awards contender for her role as Jim Bennett’s (Mark Wahlberg) mother in Rupert Wyatt’s The Gambler – will receive its Kirk Douglas Award for Excellence in Film. Robert De Niro won this award in 2012 and went on to pick up his first Oscar nod since 1992 for Silver Linings Playbook (2012); Forest Whitaker won this award last year and picked up a Screen Actors Guild (SAG) nod (and almost an Oscar bid) for Lee Daniels’ The Butler.
Birdman will open the Venice Film Festival, close the New York Film Festival, play at the Toronto International Film Festival; Emma Stone and Naomi Watts‘ performances in the dark comedy might take flight this season. TIFF will also screen, among others, The Imitation Game with Keira Knightley, The Theory of Everything with Felicity Jones, and Wild with Laura Dern.
David Fincher’s Gone Girl kicks off NYFF; the motion-picture academy’s acting branch might take well to Carrie Coon‘s role as Nick Dunne’s (Ben Affleck) refreshingly blunt sister. (If the movie’s enough of an awards magnet, Kim Dickens and/or Missi Pyle might ignite some heat, too. Of course, Fox might push Rosamund Pike as a supporting actress despite her being a lead.) Paul Thomas Anderson’s Inherent Vice, with Jena Malone, Katherine Waterston, and Reese Witherspoon, will serve as the fest’s centerpiece screening.