Best Picture 2016

Most recent update: June 8, 2016


Can Ang Lee, after winning best director twice, finally land a picture win?


My official predictions include only performances in films set for distribution in the United States. The process of guessing who will and will not make the cut always seems to be collaborative, so feel free to leave a comment – here or on Twitter – that addresses any relevant information or contenders you feel should be included.


  1. Silence (more)

  2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (more)

  3. The Birth of a Nation (more)

  4. Loving (more)

  5. Lion (more)

If There Are More Than Five…

  1. La La Land (more)
  2. Sully (more)
  3. Manchester by the Sea (more)
  4. Fences (more)
  5. Moonlight (more)

Other Possibilities

  1. Allied (more)
  2. Hands of Stone (more)
  3. The Girl on the Train (more)
  4. Nocturnal Animals (more)
  5. The Day They Arrive (more)
  6. The Founder (more)
  7. Denial (more)
  8. Wilson (more)
  9. Love and Friendship (more)
  10. The Lobster (more)
  11. A Monster Calls (more)
  12. The Book of Henry (more)
  13. Zootopia (more)
  14. Moana (more)
  15. Queen of Katwe (more)

Long Shots

  1. Collateral Beauty (more)
  2. The Light Between Oceans (more)
  3. The Accountant (more)
  4. The Yellow Birds (more)
  5. Café Society (more)
  6. The Zookeeper’s Wife (more)
  7. Passengers (more)
  8. Bleed for This (more)
  9. Florence Foster Jenkins (more)
  10. Finding Dory (more)
  11. Suicide Squad (more)
  12. Pete’s Dragon (more)
  13. Gold (more)
  14. Deepwater Horizon (more)

In Limbo

I regard these performances as ineligible at the moment, because a) the films might not hit theaters this year due to distributors’ schedules or their not being ready, or b) the films lack stateside distribution altogether. Some films fit under all three categories.

Of course, as anyone who follows this mess knows, things can change at a moment’s notice.

  • Brain on Fire (more)
  • LBJ (more)
  • American Pastoral (more)
  • The Life and Death of John F. Donovan (more)
  • Miss Sloane (more)
  • 20th Century Women (more)
  • Please Stand By (more)
  • Beauty and the Beast (more)
  • Labor of Love (more)

A photo of Patricia Arquette in Boyhood (via Collider).


Box Office


Dates and Distribution






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